Our Montpellier vs Pau Prediction: 2-1
Montpellier vs Pau in the France Ligue 2 is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday December 6, 2025. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
This Montpellier vs Pau prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Montpellier's Last Match – Reims vs Montpellier
Montpellier must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-2 France Ligue 2 defeat against Reims on November 24. In that match, Montpellier controlled 60% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Reims | 40% | 0 (4) | 1.18 | 43 |
 Montpellier | 60% | 0 (4) | 0.82 | 52 |
Pau's Last Match – Pau vs Le Mans
Pau will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-2 France Ligue 2 defeat at the hands of Le Mans on November 21. In that match, Pau had 60% possession and 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pau | 60% | 0 (1) | 1.15 | 0 |
 Le Mans | 40% | 0 (2) | 1.3 | 0 |
Montpellier vs Pau Stats
Key Stats
| Montpellier | Pau | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.04 | Attacking Strength | 1.2 |
| 0.86 | Defence Strength | 1.6 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Montpellier are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Pau average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Montpellier 13-9
Pau 13-17
What are the odds for this match?
Montpellier to win: @1.7
Draw: @3.5
Pau to win: @4.2
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825