Our Pau vs SC Bastia Prediction: 1-1
Pau vs SC Bastia in the France Ligue 2 is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Friday March 6, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Pau vs SC Bastia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Pau's Last Match – Pau vs St Etienne
Pau will be looking to bounce back after a 0-3 France Ligue 2 defeat against St Etienne on February 28. In that match, Pau controlled 53% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pau | 53% | 0 (4) | 0.37 | 49 |
 St Etienne | 47% | 0 (7) | 2.49 | 24 |
SC Bastia's Last Match – SC Bastia vs Annecy
SC Bastia will look to get back on track following a 0-2 France Ligue 2 loss against Annecy on February 27. In that match, SC Bastia saw 60% of the ball and 0 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 SC Bastia | 60% | 0 (0) | 1.33 | 31 |
 Annecy | 40% | 0 (3) | 1.81 | 31 |
Pau vs SC Bastia Stats
Key Stats
| Pau | SC Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Attacking Strength | 0.42 |
| 1.61 | Defence Strength | 0.72 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 1/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 0/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 0.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Pau are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while SC Bastia average 0.5 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Pau 16-19
SC Bastia 5-7
What are the odds for this match?
Pau to win: @2
Draw: @3.2
SC Bastia to win: @3.7
Lineups
Pau: Daylam Meddah, Kyliane Dong, Giovani Versini, Steeve Beusnard, Omar Sissoko, Julien Anziani, Tom Pouilly, Jean Ruiz, Noah Raveyre, Anthony Briancon, Joseph Kalulu
SC Bastia: Jocelyn Janneh, Juan Jose Guevara Possu, Zakaria Ariss, Florian Bohnert, Joachim Eickmayer, Mehdi Merghem, Gustave Akueson, Felix Tomi, Amine Boutrah, Tom Ducrocq, Johny Placide