Our AC Milan U23 vs Pavia Prediction: 2-1
AC Milan U23 vs Pavia in the Italy Serie D is scheduled for an 13:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 11, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
Our prediction is supported by key AC Milan U23 vs Pavia stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
AC Milan U23's Last Match – AC Leon Monza Brianza vs AC Milan U23
AC Milan U23 must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-0 Italy Serie D victory over AC Leon Monza Brianza in their last outing. In that match, AC Milan U23 recorded 41% possession, firing 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
AC Leon Monza Brianza | 59% | 0 (4) | - | 64 |
AC Milan U23 | 41% | 0 (6) | - | 56 |
Pavia's Last Match – Pavia vs ASD Caldiero Terme
Pavia will be looking to bounce back after a 1-3 Italy Serie D defeat against ASD Caldiero Terme on January 6.
AC Milan U23 vs Pavia Stats
Key Stats
| AC Milan U23 | Pavia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | Attacking Strength | 0.94 |
| 1.06 | Defence Strength | 1.25 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
AC Milan U23 are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Pavia average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Igea Virtus 
AC Savoia 1908 
Reggina 
Gelbison 
Milazzo 
Vigor Lamezia 
Vibonese 
ASD Sancataldese 
ASD Ragusa 
Acireale 
ACR Messina