Our Pavia vs USD Castellanzese Prediction: 1-2
Pavia vs USD Castellanzese in the Italy Serie D is scheduled for an 13:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 1-2 away triumph, but considering both teams’ attacking strengths, BTTS is a highly likely scenario.
This Pavia vs USD Castellanzese prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Pavia's Last Match – ASD Villa D'Alme vs Pavia
Pavia will look to build on their last result following a 0-0 Italy Serie D stalemate against ASD Villa D'Alme on March 15. In that match, Pavia controlled 45% of possession and managed 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 ASD Villa D'Alme | 55% | 0 (0) | - | 38 |
Pavia | 45% | 0 (1) | - | 35 |
USD Castellanzese's Last Match – ASD Varesina vs USD Castellanzese
USD Castellanzese will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 2-2 Italy Serie D draw with ASD Varesina on March 18. In that match, USD Castellanzese saw 54% of the ball and 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 ASD Varesina | 46% | 0 (6) | - | 71 |
 USD Castellanzese | 54% | 0 (3) | - | 68 |
Pavia vs USD Castellanzese Stats
Key Stats
| Pavia | USD Castellanzese | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.94 | Attacking Strength | 1.38 |
| 1.12 | Defence Strength | 0.94 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Pavia are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while USD Castellanzese average 0.9 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.