Our USD Castellanzese vs Pavia Prediction: 2-1
USD Castellanzese vs Pavia in the Italy Serie D is scheduled for an 13:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday November 9, 2025. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key USD Castellanzese vs Pavia stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
USD Castellanzese's Last Match – USD Castellanzese vs ASD Varesina
USD Castellanzese will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 Italy Serie D victory over ASD Varesina, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, USD Castellanzese had 54% possession and 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 USD Castellanzese | 54% | 0 (4) | - | 36 |
 ASD Varesina | 46% | 0 (6) | - | 38 |
Pavia's Last Match – Pavia vs ASD Villa D'Alme
Pavia will seek to keep their streak alive after a 4-0 Italy Serie D victory over ASD Villa D'Alme on November 2.
USD Castellanzese vs Pavia Stats
Key Stats
| USD Castellanzese | Pavia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.23 | Attacking Strength | 0.76 |
| 1.52 | Defence Strength | 1.46 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
USD Castellanzese are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Pavia average 1.5 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.