Our Penafiel vs UD Leiria Prediction: 1-1
Penafiel vs UD Leiria in the Portugal Segunda Liga is scheduled for an 11:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 7, 2025. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Penafiel vs UD Leiria prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Penafiel's Last Match – Maritimo vs Penafiel
Penafiel will hope to recover from their recent 1-2 Portugal Segunda Liga setback against Maritimo on November 23. In that match, Penafiel had 50% possession and 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Maritimo | 50% | 0 (5) | - | 63 |
 Penafiel | 50% | 0 (6) | - | 30 |
UD Leiria's Last Match – SU 1 Dezembro vs UD Leiria
UD Leiria will hope to extend their good run following a 3-1 Portugal Cup win against SU 1 Dezembro on November 22. In that match, UD Leiria recorded 49% possession, firing 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 SU 1 Dezembro | 51% | 0 (3) | - | 42 |
 UD Leiria | 49% | 0 (4) | - | 49 |
Penafiel vs UD Leiria Stats
Key Stats
| Penafiel | UD Leiria | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.59 | Attacking Strength | 1.21 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 0.66 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Penafiel are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while UD Leiria average 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.