Our Penarol vs Cerro Prediction: 1-0
Penarol vs Cerro in the Uruguay Torneo Intermedio is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday June 28, 2025. Cerro will put up a fight, but Cerro’s quality should prevail in a tight 1-0 home win.
This Penarol vs Cerro prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Penarol's Last Match – Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers
Penarol will hope to extend their good run following a 2-0 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio win against Montevideo Wanderers on June 22. In that match, Penarol controlled 50% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Penarol | 50% | 0 (4) | - | 58 |
Montevideo Wanderers | 50% | 0 (2) | - | 76 |
Cerro's Last Match – Defensor Sporting vs Cerro
After suffering a 1-2 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio loss to Defensor Sporting, Cerro must win to get back on track. In that match, Cerro recorded 36% possession and 2 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Defensor Sporting | 64% | 0 (6) | - | 64 |
Cerro | 36% | 0 (2) | - | 35 |
Penarol vs Cerro Stats
Key Stats
| Penarol | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | Attacking Strength | 0.67 |
| 0.38 | Defence Strength | 0.57 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Penarol are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Cerro average 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Penarol 21-8
Cerro 9-16
What are the odds for this match?
Penarol to win: @1.27
Draw: @5
Cerro to win: @13
Over 2.5 Goals: @2



Penarol
Montevideo Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Central Espanol
Nacional De Football
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
Danubio
Torque
Racing Club de Montevideo
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
Montevideo Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Juventud De Las Piedras
Boston River
Cerro
Club Atletico Progreso