Our Penarol vs Cerro Prediction: 1-0
Penarol vs Cerro in the Uruguay Torneo Intermedio is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday June 28, 2025. Cerro will put up a fight, but Cerro’s quality should prevail in a tight 1-0 home win.
This Penarol vs Cerro prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Penarol's Last Match – Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers
Penarol will hope to extend their good run following a 2-0 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio win against Montevideo Wanderers on June 22. In that match, Penarol controlled 50% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Penarol | 50% | 0 (4) | - | 58 |
Montevideo Wanderers | 50% | 0 (2) | - | 76 |
Cerro's Last Match – Defensor Sporting vs Cerro
After suffering a 1-2 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio loss to Defensor Sporting, Cerro must win to get back on track. In that match, Cerro recorded 36% possession and 2 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Defensor Sporting | 64% | 0 (6) | - | 64 |
Cerro | 36% | 0 (2) | - | 35 |
Penarol vs Cerro Stats
Key Stats
| Penarol | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | Attacking Strength | 0.67 |
| 0.38 | Defence Strength | 0.57 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Penarol are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Cerro average 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Penarol 21-8
Cerro 9-16
What are the odds for this match?
Penarol to win: @1.27
Draw: @5
Cerro to win: @13
Over 2.5 Goals: @2