Our Penarol vs Cerro Prediction: 2-1
Penarol vs Cerro in the Uruguay Apertura is scheduled for an 22:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 21, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This Penarol vs Cerro prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Penarol's Last Match – Albion FC vs Penarol
Penarol will seek to keep their streak alive after a 1-0 Uruguay Apertura victory over Albion FC on March 14. In that match, Penarol recorded 53% possession and 5 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Albion FC | 47% | 0 (3) | - | 35 |
 Penarol | 53% | 0 (5) | - | 57 |
Cerro's Last Match – Cerro vs Club Atletico Progreso
Cerro must win to recover from their recent 0-1 Uruguay Apertura defeat against Club Atletico Progreso on March 14 and regain momentum. In that match, Cerro controlled 50% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cerro | 50% | 0 (4) | - | 56 |
 Club Atletico Progreso | 50% | 0 (4) | - | 67 |
Penarol vs Cerro Stats
Key Stats
| Penarol | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | Attacking Strength | 0.51 |
| 1.27 | Defence Strength | 1.37 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 0.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Penarol are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Cerro average 0.5 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Penarol 13-8
Cerro 5-10
What are the odds for this match?
Penarol to win: @1.333
Draw: @3.8
Cerro to win: @9.5