Our Penarol vs Cerro Prediction: 2-1
Penarol vs Cerro in the Uruguay Apertura is scheduled for an 22:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 21, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This Penarol vs Cerro prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Penarol's Last Match – Albion FC vs Penarol
Penarol will seek to keep their streak alive after a 1-0 Uruguay Apertura victory over Albion FC on March 14. In that match, Penarol recorded 53% possession and 5 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Albion FC | 47% | 0 (3) | - | 35 |
Penarol | 53% | 0 (5) | - | 57 |
Cerro's Last Match – Cerro vs Club Atletico Progreso
Cerro must win to recover from their recent 0-1 Uruguay Apertura defeat against Club Atletico Progreso on March 14 and regain momentum. In that match, Cerro controlled 50% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cerro | 50% | 0 (4) | - | 56 |
Club Atletico Progreso | 50% | 0 (4) | - | 67 |
Penarol vs Cerro Stats
Key Stats
| Penarol | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | Attacking Strength | 0.51 |
| 1.27 | Defence Strength | 1.37 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 0.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Penarol are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Cerro average 0.5 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Penarol 13-8
Cerro 5-10
What are the odds for this match?
Penarol to win: @1.333
Draw: @3.8
Cerro to win: @9.5



Albion FC
Penarol
Cerro
Club Atletico Progreso
Racing Club de Montevideo
Penarol
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
Nacional De Football
Torque
Montevideo Wanderers
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Boston River
Cerro
Club Atletico Progreso
Juventud De Las Piedras