Our Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction: 2-1
Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield in the Copa Libertadores is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday May 29, 2025. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Penarol's Last Match – Penarol vs Plaza Colonia
Penarol will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-0 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio victory over Plaza Colonia on May 24. In that match, Penarol recorded 60% possession and 4 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Penarol | 60% | 0 (4) | - | 60 |
 Plaza Colonia | 40% | 0 (5) | - | 34 |
Velez Sarsfield's Last Match – Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield will look to get back on track following a 0-2 Argentina Cup loss against Lanus on May 22. In that match, Velez Sarsfield recorded 50% possession, firing 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lanus | 50% | 0 (4) | 1.6 | 50 |
 Velez Sarsfield | 50% | 0 (2) | 0.27 | 67 |
Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield Stats
Key Stats
| Penarol | Velez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.51 | Attacking Strength | 1.65 |
| 0.51 | Defence Strength | 0.98 |
| 2.8 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 9/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Penarol are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Velez Sarsfield average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Penarol 22-7
Velez Sarsfield 13-12
What are the odds for this match?
Penarol to win: @2.25
Draw: @3.1
Velez Sarsfield to win: @3.5
Lineups
Penarol (4-2-3-1) : Guillermo Rafael De Amores Ravelo, Damian Suarez, Nahuel Herrera, Leo Coelho, Maximiliano Olivera, Ignacio Sosa Ospital, Eric Remedi, Javier Cabrera, Leonardo Fernandez, Leandro Umpierrez, Maximiliano Joaquin Silvera Cabo
Velez Sarsfield (4-3-3) : Tomas Marchiori, Jano Gordon, Damian Fernandez, Aaron Quiros, Elias Gomez, Tomas Galvan, Claudio Baeza, Agustin Bouzat, Maher Carrizo, Braian Romero, Francisco Pizzini
Velez Sarsfield 
Penarol 
Olimpia Asuncion