Our Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Prediction: 3-2
Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire in the USA MLS is scheduled for an 23:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday August 23, 2025. We’re backing a 3-2 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
This Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Philadelphia Union's Last Match – New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union will look to get back on track following a 0-1 USA MLS loss against New York Red Bulls on August 16. In that match, Philadelphia Union controlled 49% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 0 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 New York Red Bulls | 51% | 5 (2) | 0.32 | 39 |
 Philadelphia Union | 49% | 5 (0) | 1.18 | 59 |
Chicago Fire's Last Match – Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City SC
Chicago Fire will want to continue their winning form after a 3-2 USA MLS victory over St. Louis City SC, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Chicago Fire recorded 51% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chicago Fire | 51% | 12 (5) | 1.28 | 46 |
 St. Louis City SC | 49% | 10 (4) | 0.88 | 43 |
Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Stats
Key Stats
| Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | Attacking Strength | 1.92 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 1.21 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Philadelphia Union are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Chicago Fire average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Philadelphia Union 14-11
Chicago Fire 16-16
What are the odds for this match?
Philadelphia Union to win: @1.8
Draw: @4.1
Chicago Fire to win: @3.75
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