Our Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Prediction: 2-1
Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC in the USA MLS is scheduled for an 23:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 4, 2025. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
This Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Philadelphia Union's Last Match – DC United vs Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 6-0 USA MLS victory over DC United on September 27. In that match, Philadelphia Union recorded 49% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 DC United | 51% | 11 (4) | 1.55 | 36 |
 Philadelphia Union | 49% | 8 (8) | 1.91 | 38 |
New York City FC's Last Match – New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
New York City FC will seek to keep their streak alive after a 3-2 USA MLS victory over New York Red Bulls on September 27. In that match, New York City FC had 46% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 New York Red Bulls | 54% | 4 (2) | 0.79 | 54 |
 New York City FC | 46% | 8 (8) | 1.85 | 38 |
Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Stats
Key Stats
| Philadelphia Union | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | Attacking Strength | 1.07 |
| 0.74 | Defence Strength | 0.79 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Philadelphia Union are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while New York City FC average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Philadelphia Union 19-16
New York City FC 18-14
What are the odds for this match?
Philadelphia Union to win: @1.9
Draw: @3.9
New York City FC to win: @3.8
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.8
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