Our Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Prediction: 2-1
Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC in the USA MLS is scheduled for an 21:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 1, 2026. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Philadelphia Union's Last Match – DC United vs Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union will be looking to bounce back after a 0-1 USA MLS defeat against DC United on February 22. In that match, Philadelphia Union recorded 52% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 DC United | 48% | 5 (3) | 0.91 | 39 |
 Philadelphia Union | 52% | 6 (3) | 0.41 | 34 |
New York City FC's Last Match – LA Galaxy vs New York City FC
New York City FC will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 USA MLS draw with LA Galaxy on February 23. In that match, New York City FC saw 64% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 LA Galaxy | 36% | 7 (5) | 0.35 | 36 |
 New York City FC | 64% | 8 (0) | 1.4 | 77 |
Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Stats
Key Stats
| Philadelphia Union | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Attacking Strength | 1.27 |
| 0.56 | Defence Strength | 0.81 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Philadelphia Union are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while New York City FC average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Philadelphia Union 16-11
New York City FC 12-14
What are the odds for this match?
Philadelphia Union to win: @1.85
Draw: @3.5
New York City FC to win: @4.1
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.9
San Diego FC 
Los Angeles FC 
San Jose Earthquakes 
Seattle Sounders 
FC Dallas 
Portland Timbers 
Houston Dynamo 
Vancouver Whitecaps 
Austin FC 
Minnesota United 
LA Galaxy 
St. Louis City SC 
Real Salt Lake 
Colorado Rapids 
Sporting Kansas City