Our Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising FC Prediction: 3-1
Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising FC in the USA US Open Cup is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday April 2, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
Our prediction is supported by key Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising FC stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Orange County SC's Last Match – Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC
Determined to maintain their recent success, Orange County SC must win following their 1-0 USA USL Championship victory against Oakland Roots on March 29. In that match, Orange County SC saw 40% of the ball and 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oakland Roots | 60% | 0 (2) | 0.76 | 64 |
 Orange County SC | 40% | 0 (3) | 0.68 | 44 |
Phoenix Rising FC's Last Match – Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising FC
Phoenix Rising FC will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 USA USL Championship draw with Tulsa on March 29. In that match, Phoenix Rising FC controlled 44% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tulsa | 56% | 4 (2) | 1.05 | 57 |
 Phoenix Rising FC | 44% | 6 (3) | 0.84 | 50 |
Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising FC Stats
Key Stats
| Orange County SC | Phoenix Rising FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.62 | Attacking Strength | 0.75 |
| 0.9 | Defence Strength | 0.81 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Orange County SC are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while Phoenix Rising FC average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.