Our Ponferradina vs Lugo Prediction: 2-1
Ponferradina vs Lugo in the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday November 15, 2025. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Ponferradina vs Lugo prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Ponferradina's Last Match – Barakaldo vs Ponferradina
Determined to get back to winning ways, Ponferradina must win after their 0-0 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 draw against Barakaldo on November 9. In that match, Ponferradina recorded 48% possession and 4 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Barakaldo | 52% | 0 (6) | - | 58 |
Ponferradina | 48% | 0 (4) | - | 74 |
Lugo's Last Match – CD Guadalajara vs Lugo
Lugo should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 draw against CD Guadalajara on November 9. In that match, Lugo controlled 50% of possession and managed 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
CD Guadalajara | 50% | 0 (5) | - | 43 |
Lugo | 50% | 0 (3) | - | 36 |
Ponferradina vs Lugo Stats
Key Stats
| Ponferradina | Lugo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | Attacking Strength | 0.48 |
| 1.16 | Defence Strength | 0.97 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Ponferradina are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Lugo average 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
Ponferradina 12-9
Lugo 8-6
What are the odds for this match?
Ponferradina to win: @2.05
Draw: @2.9
Lugo to win: @3.5



Barakaldo
Ponferradina
CD Guadalajara
Lugo
Atletico Madrid B
Sabadell
CE Europa
Teruel
FC Cartagena
Eldense
Alcorcon
Juventud Torremolinos CF
Algeciras CF
SD Tarazona
Hercules
Real Murcia
Villarreal B
UD Ibiza
Antequera
Sevilla Atletico
Marbella FC
Atletico Sanluqueno
Betis Deportivo