Our PSG vs Marseille Prediction: 2-1
PSG vs Marseille in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 16, 2025. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
This PSG vs Marseille prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
PSG's Last Match – Liverpool vs PSG
PSG must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 UEFA Champions League victory over Liverpool in their last outing. In that match, PSG recorded 54% possession, firing 13 shots at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Liverpool | 46% | 11 (3) | 1.63 | 98 |
PSG | 54% | 13 (8) | 2.56 | 56 |
Marseille's Last Match – Marseille vs Lens
Marseille will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 France Ligue 1 loss to Lens on March 8. In that match, Marseille controlled 76% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Marseille | 76% | 11 (5) | 0.93 | 89 |
Lens | 24% | 2 (1) | 0.87 | 15 |
PSG vs Marseille Stats
Key Stats
| PSG | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.64 | Attacking Strength | 1.34 |
| 0.64 | Defence Strength | 0.69 |
| 2.7 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 9/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 3.4 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
PSG are averaging 3.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while Marseille average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
PSG 34-6
Marseille 16-12
What are the odds for this match?
PSG to win: @1.42
Draw: @5.25
Marseille to win: @6.25
Lineups
PSG (4-3-3) : Gianluigi Donnarumma, Achraf Hakimi, Beraldo, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes, Warren Zaire-Emery, Vitinha, Fabian Ruiz, Desire Doue, Ousmane Dembélé, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Marseille (3-4-3) : Geronimo Rulli, Leonardo Balerdi, Luiz Felipe, Derek Cornelius, Luis Henrique, Valentin Rongier, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Amar Dedic, Bilal Nadir, Adrien Rabiot, Amine Gouiri