Our PSG vs Monaco Prediction: 4-1
PSG vs Monaco in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday February 25, 2026. Our analysis favors a 4-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
This PSG vs Monaco prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
PSG's Last Match – PSG vs Metz
PSG will seek to keep their streak alive after a 3-0 France Ligue 1 victory over Metz on February 21. In that match, PSG recorded 67% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
PSG | 67% | 11 (6) | 2.12 | 63 |
Metz | 33% | 2 (0) | 0.08 | 27 |
Monaco's Last Match – Lens vs Monaco
Monaco will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 3-2 France Ligue 1 victory over Lens on February 21. In that match, Monaco had 48% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lens | 52% | 14 (4) | 1.55 | 53 |
Monaco | 48% | 8 (7) | 1.94 | 40 |
PSG vs Monaco Stats
Key Stats
| PSG | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | Attacking Strength | 0.83 |
| 0.74 | Defence Strength | 1.36 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
PSG are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Monaco average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
PSG 20-10
Monaco 15-18
What are the odds for this match?
PSG to win: @1.27
Draw: @6.5
Monaco to win: @9



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