Our PSG vs Toulouse Prediction: 2-1
PSG vs Toulouse in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Friday April 3, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This PSG vs Toulouse prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
PSG's Last Match – Nice vs PSG
PSG will hope to extend their good run following a 4-0 France Ligue 1 win against Nice on March 21. In that match, PSG saw 74% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 10 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nice | 26% | 4 (1) | 0.23 | 26 |
 PSG | 74% | 10 (10) | 3.62 | 32 |
Toulouse's Last Match – Toulouse vs Lorient
Toulouse will aim to maintain their momentum following a 1-0 France Ligue 1 triumph against Lorient on March 21. In that match, Toulouse had 42% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toulouse | 42% | 10 (3) | 1.14 | 23 |
 Lorient | 58% | 5 (2) | 0.39 | 32 |
PSG vs Toulouse Stats
Key Stats
| PSG | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.74 | Attacking Strength | 1.23 |
| 0.57 | Defence Strength | 0.75 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 9/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 2.8 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
PSG are averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Toulouse average 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
PSG 28-12
Toulouse 10-11
What are the odds for this match?
PSG to win: @1.3
Draw: @5.5
Toulouse to win: @10
Lineups
PSG (3-4-3) : Matvey Safonov, Achraf Hakimi, Illia Zabarnyi, Willian Pacho, Lucas Hernandez, Warren Zaire-Emery, Beraldo, Lee Kang-in, Desire Doue, Ousmane Dembele, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Toulouse (3-4-2-1) : Guillaume Restes, Mark McKenzie, Seny Koumbassa, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Dayann Methalie, Cristian Casseres Jr, Pape Diop, Djibril Sidibe, Aron Donnum, Yann Gboho, Emersonn Da Silva