Our PSV vs Ajax Prediction: 2-1
PSV vs Ajax in the Netherlands Eredivisie is scheduled for an 12:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday September 21, 2025. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
This PSV vs Ajax prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
PSV's Last Match – PSV vs Union Saint Gilloise
PSV will be looking to bounce back after a 1-3 UEFA Champions League defeat against Union Saint Gilloise on September 16. In that match, PSV had 63% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 PSV | 63% | 8 (3) | 2.44 | 70 |
 Union Saint Gilloise | 37% | 10 (8) | 3.13 | 39 |
Ajax's Last Match – Ajax vs Inter Milan
Ajax will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-2 UEFA Champions League loss to Inter Milan on September 17. In that match, Ajax controlled 57% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ajax | 57% | 6 (2) | 1.32 | 34 |
 Inter Milan | 43% | 9 (4) | 1.21 | 34 |
PSV vs Ajax Stats
Key Stats
| PSV | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | Attacking Strength | 1.13 |
| 0.98 | Defence Strength | 0.57 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.8 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
PSV are averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Ajax average 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
PSV 28-16
Ajax 20-14
What are the odds for this match?
PSV to win: @1.727
Draw: @3.8
Ajax to win: @4.5
Lineups
PSV (4-3-3) : Matej Kovar, Sergino Dest, Ryan Flamingo, Yarek Gasiorowski, Anass Salah-Eddine, Jerdy Schouten, Ismael Saibari, Joey Veerman, Ivan Perisic, Ricardo Pepi, Ruben van Bommel
Ajax (4-3-3) : Vitezslav Jaros, Lucas Rosa, Kou Itakura, Youri Baas, Owen Wijndal, Youri Regeer, Davy Klaassen, Kenneth Taylor, Oliver Valaker Edvardsen, Kasper Dolberg, Mika Godts
Feyenoord 
PSV 
Ajax 
AZ 
FC Groningen 
NEC 
FC Twente 
Fortuna Sittard 
FC Utrecht 
Go Ahead Eagles 
Sparta Rotterdam 
Heerenveen 
FC Volendam 
Telstar 
NAC 
PEC Zwolle 
Excelsior 
Heracles