Our PSV vs Ajax Prediction: 2-1
PSV vs Ajax in the Netherlands Eredivisie is scheduled for an 12:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday September 21, 2025. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
This PSV vs Ajax prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
PSV's Last Match – PSV vs Union Saint Gilloise
PSV will be looking to bounce back after a 1-3 UEFA Champions League defeat against Union Saint Gilloise on September 16. In that match, PSV had 63% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 PSV | 63% | 8 (3) | 2.44 | 70 |
 Union Saint Gilloise | 37% | 10 (8) | 3.13 | 39 |
Ajax's Last Match – Ajax vs Inter Milan
Ajax will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-2 UEFA Champions League loss to Inter Milan on September 17. In that match, Ajax controlled 57% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ajax | 57% | 6 (2) | 1.32 | 34 |
 Inter Milan | 43% | 9 (4) | 1.21 | 34 |
PSV vs Ajax Stats
Key Stats
| PSV | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | Attacking Strength | 1.13 |
| 0.98 | Defence Strength | 0.57 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.8 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
PSV are averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Ajax average 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
PSV 28-16
Ajax 20-14
What are the odds for this match?
PSV to win: @1.727
Draw: @3.8
Ajax to win: @4.5
Lineups
PSV (4-3-3) : Matej Kovar, Sergino Dest, Ryan Flamingo, Yarek Gasiorowski, Anass Salah-Eddine, Jerdy Schouten, Ismael Saibari, Joey Veerman, Ivan Perisic, Ricardo Pepi, Ruben van Bommel
Ajax (4-3-3) : Vitezslav Jaros, Lucas Rosa, Kou Itakura, Youri Baas, Owen Wijndal, Youri Regeer, Davy Klaassen, Kenneth Taylor, Oliver Valaker Edvardsen, Kasper Dolberg, Mika Godts