Our Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Prediction: 2-1
Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor in the UEFA Conference League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday March 19, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Rayo Vallecano's Last Match – Rayo Vallecano vs Levante
Determined to get back to winning ways, Rayo Vallecano must win after their 1-1 Spain La Liga draw against Levante on March 16. In that match, Rayo Vallecano saw 57% of the ball and created 12 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rayo Vallecano | 57% | 12 (4) | 1.69 | 59 |
 Levante | 43% | 10 (5) | 1.26 | 40 |
Samsunspor's Last Match – Samsunspor vs Kayserispor
Samsunspor will hope to extend their good run following a 2-1 Türkiye Super Lig win against Kayserispor on March 15. In that match, Samsunspor recorded 68% possession, attempting 11 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Samsunspor | 68% | 11 (7) | 2.03 | 53 |
 Kayserispor | 32% | 8 (2) | 0.73 | 27 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Stats
Key Stats
| Rayo Vallecano | Samsunspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.68 | Attacking Strength | 0.88 |
| 0.59 | Defence Strength | 0.63 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Rayo Vallecano are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Samsunspor average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Rayo Vallecano 15-13
Samsunspor 13-13
What are the odds for this match?
Rayo Vallecano to win: @1.6
Draw: @3.8
Samsunspor to win: @5.75
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.9