Our Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction: 3-1
Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano in the UEFA Conference League is scheduled for an 17:45 GMT kick-off on Thursday March 12, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Samsunspor's Last Match – Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor
After suffering a 2-3 Türkiye Super Lig loss to Fenerbahce, Samsunspor must win to get back on track. In that match, Samsunspor recorded 44% possession, attempting 13 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fenerbahce | 56% | 13 (4) | 1.21 | 35 |
Samsunspor | 44% | 13 (5) | 0.98 | 43 |
Rayo Vallecano's Last Match – Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 Spain La Liga draw against Sevilla on March 8. In that match, Rayo Vallecano saw 58% of the ball and created 4 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sevilla | 42% | 6 (2) | 1.05 | 41 |
Rayo Vallecano | 58% | 4 (2) | 0.31 | 26 |
Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Stats
Key Stats
| Samsunspor | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | Attacking Strength | 1.51 |
| 0.45 | Defence Strength | 1.02 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Samsunspor are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Rayo Vallecano average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Samsunspor 13-9
Rayo Vallecano 13-14
What are the odds for this match?
Samsunspor to win: @3
Draw: @3.5
Rayo Vallecano to win: @2.15
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.975



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