Our Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Prediction: 3-1
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 18:30 GMT kick-off on Friday August 22, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bayern Munich's Last Match – VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 Germany Super Cup victory over VfB Stuttgart, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Bayern Munich saw 53% of the ball and created 12 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 VfB Stuttgart | 47% | 10 (5) | 1.88 | 27 |
 Bayern Munich | 53% | 12 (3) | 2.32 | 43 |
RB Leipzig's Last Match – Sandhausen vs RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig will aim to maintain their momentum following a 4-2 Germany DFB Pokal triumph against Sandhausen on August 16. In that match, RB Leipzig had 75% possession and 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sandhausen | 25% | 0 (3) | 0.56 | 12 |
 RB Leipzig | 75% | 0 (7) | 1.87 | 78 |
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Stats
Key Stats
| Bayern Munich | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91 | Attacking Strength | 0.53 |
| 0.8 | Defence Strength | 1.05 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 3 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bayern Munich are averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while RB Leipzig average 2.4 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Bayern Munich 30-9
RB Leipzig 24-17
What are the odds for this match?
Bayern Munich to win: @1.25
Draw: @7
RB Leipzig to win: @8.5