Our RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg Prediction: 3-1
RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 14, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 3-1 home triumph, but considering recent goal trends, betting on over 2.5 goals also makes sense.
This RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
RB Leipzig's Last Match – RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-3 Germany Bundesliga I defeat at the hands of Bayer Leverkusen on December 20. In that match, RB Leipzig recorded 44% possession, firing 16 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 RB Leipzig | 44% | 16 (7) | 1.8 | 60 |
 Bayer Leverkusen | 56% | 12 (8) | 3.17 | 40 |
SC Freiburg's Last Match – SC Freiburg vs Hamburg
SC Freiburg must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Hamburg in their last outing. In that match, SC Freiburg saw 60% of the ball and created 13 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 SC Freiburg | 60% | 13 (7) | 2.83 | 40 |
 Hamburg | 40% | 9 (5) | 0.63 | 28 |
RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg Stats
Key Stats
| RB Leipzig | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.54 | Attacking Strength | 0.94 |
| 0.87 | Defence Strength | 1.11 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.7 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
RB Leipzig are averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while SC Freiburg average 1.9 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
RB Leipzig 27-12
SC Freiburg 19-14
What are the odds for this match?
RB Leipzig to win: @1.7
Draw: @4
SC Freiburg to win: @4.5
Lineups
RB Leipzig (4-3-3) : Peter Gulacsi, Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Christoph Baumgartner, Nicolas Seiwald, Xaver Schlager, Assan Ouedraogo, Romulo, Tidiam Gomis
SC Freiburg (4-2-3-1) : Noah Atubolu, Lukas Kubler, Bruno Ogbus, Anthony Jung, Christian Gunter, Maximilian Eggestein, Patrick Osterhage, Philipp Treu, Yuito Suzuki, Johan Manzambi, Lucas Holer