Our Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction: 2-2
Benfica vs Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 28, 2026. Our analysis suggests a 2-2 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
This Benfica vs Real Madrid prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Benfica's Last Match – Rio Ave vs Benfica
Benfica must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-0 Portugal Primeira Liga victory over Rio Ave in their last outing. In that match, Benfica controlled 63% of possession and managed 16 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rio Ave | 37% | 4 (2) | 0.19 | 21 |
 Benfica | 63% | 16 (7) | 2.42 | 92 |
Real Madrid's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Levante
Determined to maintain their recent success, Real Madrid must win following their 2-0 Spain La Liga victory against Levante on January 17. In that match, Real Madrid recorded 70% possession, firing 22 shots at goal, with 11 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Madrid | 70% | 22 (11) | 2.6 | 56 |
 Levante | 30% | 5 (0) | 0.79 | 30 |
Benfica vs Real Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Benfica | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | Attacking Strength | 1.25 |
| 1.32 | Defence Strength | 0.81 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Benfica are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Real Madrid average 2.1 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.