Our Real Madrid vs Benfica Prediction: 2-1
Real Madrid vs Benfica in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday February 25, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This Real Madrid vs Benfica prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Real Madrid's Last Match – Osasuna vs Real Madrid
Real Madrid will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-2 Spain La Liga defeat at the hands of Osasuna on February 21. In that match, Real Madrid recorded 61% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Osasuna | 39% | 9 (2) | 2.05 | 44 |
 Real Madrid | 61% | 9 (5) | 1.69 | 55 |
Benfica's Last Match – Benfica vs AVS
Benfica will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-0 Portugal Primeira Liga success over AVS on February 21. In that match, Benfica had 65% possession and 15 attempts at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Benfica | 65% | 15 (8) | 3.75 | 94 |
 AVS | 35% | 1 (0) | 0.11 | 28 |
Real Madrid vs Benfica Stats
Key Stats
| Real Madrid | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | Attacking Strength | 0.74 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 0.69 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Real Madrid are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Benfica average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Real Madrid 24-12
Benfica 17-8
What are the odds for this match?
Real Madrid to win: @1.45
Draw: @5
Benfica to win: @6
Lineups
Real Madrid (4-3-3) : Thibaut Courtois, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Antonio Rudiger, Raul Asencio, Alvaro Carreras, Federico Valverde, Aurelien Tchouameni, Eduardo Camavinga, Arda Guler, Gonzalo Garcia, Vinicius Junior
Benfica (4-2-3-1) : Anatoliy Trubin, Amar Dedic, Tomas Araujo, Nicolas Otamendi, Samuel Dahl, Richard Rios, Leandro Barreiro, Fredrik Aursnes, Rafa Silva, Andreas Schjelderup, Vangelis Pavlidis