Our Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction: 3-1
Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday May 4, 2025. We predict a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams posing an attacking threat, over 2.5 goals is another solid betting option.
This Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Real Madrid's Last Match – Barcelona vs Real Madrid
Real Madrid will look to get back on track following a 2-3 Spain Copa del Rey loss against Barcelona on April 26. In that match, Real Madrid recorded 41% possession, firing 12 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Barcelona | 59% | 16 (9) | 1.75 | 88 |
Real Madrid | 41% | 12 (7) | 0.82 | 36 |
Celta Vigo's Last Match – Celta Vigo vs Villarreal
Celta Vigo will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-0 Spain La Liga success over Villarreal on April 23. In that match, Celta Vigo saw 60% of the ball and created 14 goal attempts, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Celta Vigo | 60% | 14 (9) | 3.05 | 81 |
Villarreal | 40% | 5 (1) | 0.39 | 35 |
Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Stats
Key Stats
| Real Madrid | Celta Vigo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | Attacking Strength | 1.1 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 1.18 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Real Madrid are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Celta Vigo average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Real Madrid 16-17
Celta Vigo 16-12
What are the odds for this match?
Real Madrid to win: @1.363
Draw: @5.75
Celta Vigo to win: @7
Lineups
Real Madrid (4-4-2) : Thibaut Courtois, Lucas Vazquez, Aurelien Tchouameni, Raul Asencio, Francisco Garcia, Arda Guler, Federico Valverde, Dani Ceballos, Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior
Celta Vigo (3-4-3) : Vicente Guaita, Javi Rodriguez, Yoel Lago, Marcos Alonso, Sergio Carreira, Hugo Sotelo, Fran Beltran, Oscar Mingueza, Fernando Lopez Gonzalez, Borja Iglesias, Alfonso Gonzales