Real Madrid vs Monaco Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Real Madrid vs Monaco Prediction: 3-1

Real Madrid vs Monaco in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday January 20, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.

This Real Madrid vs Monaco prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Real Madrid's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Real Madrid will want to continue their winning form after a 2-0 Spain La Liga victory over Sevilla, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Real Madrid saw 53% of the ball and created 13 goal attempts, with 8 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Real Madrid	53%	13 (8)	2.47	51
Sevilla	47%	10 (5)	1.62	28

Monaco's Last Match – Auxerre vs Monaco

Monaco must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 France Cup victory over Auxerre in their last outing. In that match, Monaco recorded 50% possession and 9 shots hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Auxerre	50%	0 (6)	1.59	32
Monaco	50%	0 (9)	2.89	51

Real Madrid vs Monaco Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Real Madrid are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Monaco average 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.