Real Madrid vs Monaco Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Real Madrid vs Monaco Prediction: 3-1

Real Madrid vs Monaco in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday January 20, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.

This Real Madrid vs Monaco prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Real Madrid's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Levante

Real Madrid will want to continue their winning form after a 2-0 Spain La Liga victory over Levante, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Real Madrid saw 70% of the ball and created 22 goal attempts, with 11 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Real Madrid	70%	22 (11)	2.6	56
Levante	30%	5 (0)	0.79	30

Monaco's Last Match – Monaco vs Lorient

Monaco must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-3 France Ligue 1 defeat against Lorient on January 16. In that match, Monaco recorded 62% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 9 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Monaco	62%	9 (9)	1.19	71
Lorient	38%	10 (5)	1.45	41

Real Madrid vs Monaco Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Real Madrid are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Monaco average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Real Madrid to win: @1.285

Draw: @6

Monaco to win: @8.5

Real Madrid Fixtures

Monaco Fixtures