Our Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Prediction: 1-1
Rio Ave vs Casa Pia in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 15:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 4, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Rio Ave vs Casa Pia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Exact Score Tips
Recent Form Insights
Rio Ave's Last Match – Sporting vs Rio Ave
Rio Ave will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-4 Portugal Primeira Liga loss to Sporting on December 28. In that match, Rio Ave had 41% possession and 3 attempts at goal, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting | 59% | 15 (11) | 3.26 | 71 |
 Rio Ave | 41% | 3 (0) | 0.1 | 23 |
Casa Pia's Last Match – Casa Pia vs Guimaraes
Casa Pia should win to turn things around after settling for a 0-0 Portugal Primeira Liga draw against Guimaraes on December 28. In that match, Casa Pia controlled 44% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Casa Pia | 44% | 5 (2) | 0.38 | 35 |
 Guimaraes | 56% | 9 (2) | 1.15 | 50 |
Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Stats
Key Stats
| Rio Ave | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.79 | Attacking Strength | 0.81 |
| 1.13 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Rio Ave are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Casa Pia average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Rio Ave 13-18
Casa Pia 12-18
What are the odds for this match?
Rio Ave to win: @2.375
Draw: @3.1
Casa Pia to win: @3.1
Lineups
Rio Ave (3-4-3) : Cezary Miszta, Francisco Petrasso, Jakub Brabec, Nelson Abbey, Marios Vroussay, Andreas Ntoi, Brandon Aguilera, Joao Tome, Andre, Clayton Silva, Dario Spikic
Casa Pia (3-4-3) : Patrick Sequeira, Andre Geraldes, Jose Fonte, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Rafael Brito, Renato Nhaga, Abdu Conte, Yassin Oukili, Cassiano, Jeremy Livolant
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Gil Vicente 
Braga 
Guimaraes 
Moreirense 
Famalicao 
Estoril 
Rio Ave 
Alverca 
Estrela 
Nacional 
Santa Clara 
Casa Pia 
Arouca 
Tondela