Our Nacional vs Rio Ave Prediction: 2-3
Nacional vs Rio Ave in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 15:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 25, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-3 away win, but considering both sides' recent goal-scoring trends, over 2.5 goals is also a smart choice.
This Nacional vs Rio Ave prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Nacional's Last Match – Gil Vicente vs Nacional
Nacional must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat against Gil Vicente on January 17. In that match, Nacional had 46% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Gil Vicente | 54% | 10 (4) | 1.42 | 59 |
Nacional | 46% | 10 (4) | 1.61 | 33 |
Rio Ave's Last Match – Rio Ave vs Benfica
Rio Ave will look to get back on track following a 0-2 Portugal Primeira Liga loss against Benfica on January 17. In that match, Rio Ave saw 37% of the ball and created 4 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Rio Ave | 37% | 4 (2) | 0.19 | 21 |
Benfica | 63% | 16 (7) | 2.42 | 92 |
Nacional vs Rio Ave Stats
Key Stats
| Nacional | Rio Ave | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.15 | Attacking Strength | 1.22 |
| 1.79 | Defence Strength | 1.37 |
| 0.6 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Nacional are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Rio Ave average 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.



Gil Vicente
Nacional
Rio Ave
Benfica
FC Porto
Sporting
Benfica
Braga
Gil Vicente
Famalicao
Estoril
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Arouca
Alverca
Estrela
Casa Pia
Nacional
Rio Ave
Tondela
Santa Clara