Our Nacional vs Rio Ave Prediction: 2-3
Nacional vs Rio Ave in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 15:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 25, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-3 away win, but considering both sides' recent goal-scoring trends, over 2.5 goals is also a smart choice.
This Nacional vs Rio Ave prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Nacional's Last Match – Guimaraes vs Nacional
Nacional must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat against Guimaraes on January 2. In that match, Nacional had 43% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Guimaraes | 57% | 8 (5) | 0.87 | 53 |
Nacional | 43% | 10 (9) | 1.49 | 27 |
Rio Ave's Last Match – Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
Rio Ave will seek to keep their streak alive after a 3-1 Portugal Primeira Liga victory over Casa Pia on January 4. In that match, Rio Ave saw 51% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Rio Ave | 51% | 8 (7) | 2.37 | 41 |
Casa Pia | 49% | 9 (5) | 1.79 | 35 |
Nacional vs Rio Ave Stats
Key Stats
| Nacional | Rio Ave | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Attacking Strength | 1.23 |
| 1.8 | Defence Strength | 1.36 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Nacional are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Rio Ave average 1.3 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.



Guimaraes
Nacional
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Sporting
Benfica
Gil Vicente
Braga
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Famalicao
Estoril
Rio Ave
Alverca
Estrela
Nacional
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Arouca
Tondela