Our Roma vs Cagliari Prediction: 3-1
Roma vs Cagliari in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 16, 2025. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This Roma vs Cagliari prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Roma's Last Match – Athletic Bilbao vs Roma
Roma will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-3 UEFA Europa League loss to Athletic Bilbao on March 13. In that match, Roma had 30% possession and 5 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Athletic Bilbao | 70% | 15 (8) | 1.4 | 84 |
Roma | 30% | 5 (2) | 1.01 | 17 |
Cagliari's Last Match – Cagliari vs Genoa
Cagliari should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 Italy Serie A draw against Genoa on March 7. In that match, Cagliari controlled 46% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cagliari | 46% | 7 (1) | 0.65 | 34 |
Genoa | 54% | 6 (2) | 0.96 | 41 |
Roma vs Cagliari Stats
Key Stats
| Roma | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 | Attacking Strength | 0.63 |
| 0.71 | Defence Strength | 1.07 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Roma are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Cagliari average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Roma 17-11
Cagliari 12-12
What are the odds for this match?
Roma to win: @1.5
Draw: @4.333
Cagliari to win: @6.25
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.99
Lineups
Roma (3-4-2-1) : Mile Svilar, Devyne Rensch, Gianluca Mancini, Evan N Dicka, Alexis Saelemaekers, Leandro Paredes, Manu Kone, Angelino, Matias Soule, Tommaso Baldanzi, Artem Dovbyk
Cagliari (3-5-1-1) : Elia Caprile, Jose Luis Palomino, Yerry Mina, Sebastiano Luperto, Nadir Zortea, Michel Adopo, Matteo Prati, Alessandro Deiola, Adam Obert, Nicolas Viola, Roberto Piccoli