Our Tokyo Verdy vs Sagan Tosu Prediction: 3-1
Tokyo Verdy vs Sagan Tosu in the Japan FA Cup is scheduled for an 11:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday July 16, 2025. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tokyo Verdy's Last Match – Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo Verdy
Tokyo Verdy must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 0-0 Japan J-League draw against Nagoya Grampus on July 5. In that match, Tokyo Verdy saw 48% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nagoya Grampus | 52% | 2 (1) | 0.45 | 41 |
 Tokyo Verdy | 48% | 5 (4) | 0.62 | 31 |
Sagan Tosu's Last Match – Sagan Tosu vs Oita
Sagan Tosu will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-1 Japan J2-League victory over Oita on July 12. In that match, Sagan Tosu recorded 54% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sagan Tosu | 54% | 9 (4) | - | 45 |
 Oita | 46% | 5 (2) | - | 46 |
Tokyo Verdy vs Sagan Tosu Stats
Key Stats
| Tokyo Verdy | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | Attacking Strength | 1.15 |
| 0.38 | Defence Strength | 0.68 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tokyo Verdy are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Sagan Tosu average 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.