Our Sao Bernardo SP vs Noroeste Prediction: 2-1
Sao Bernardo SP vs Noroeste in the Brazil Campeonato Paulista is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 18, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Sao Bernardo SP vs Noroeste prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sao Bernardo SP's Last Match – Sao Paulo vs Sao Bernardo SP
Sao Bernardo SP must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 Brazil Campeonato Paulista draw against Noroeste on January 18. In that match, Sao Bernardo SP recorded 56% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sao Paulo | 58% | 7 (2) | 0.78 | 60 |
 Sao Bernardo SP | 42% | 7 (3) | 0.11 | 17 |
Noroeste's Last Match – Botafogo SP vs Noroeste
Noroeste will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 Brazil Campeonato Paulista share of the spoils with Sao Bernardo SP on January 18. In that match, Noroeste controlled 44% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Botafogo SP | 46% | 5 (4) | 0.74 | 38 |
 Noroeste | 54% | 9 (5) | 1.82 | 45 |
Sao Bernardo SP vs Noroeste Stats
Key Stats
| Sao Bernardo SP | Noroeste | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.28 | Attacking Strength | 0.9 |
| 1.26 | Defence Strength | 1.19 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sao Bernardo SP are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Noroeste average 0.9 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Sao Bernardo SP 9-8
Noroeste 9-10
What are the odds for this match?
Sao Bernardo SP to win: @1.666
Draw: @3.4
Noroeste to win: @5