Our Gremio vs Sao Luiz Prediction: 3-1
Gremio vs Sao Luiz in the Brazil Campeonato Gaucho is scheduled for an 22:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 17, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This Gremio vs Sao Luiz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Gremio's Last Match – Gremio vs Sao Jose PA
Gremio will be looking to bounce back after a 0-1 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho defeat against Sao Jose PA on January 15. In that match, Gremio controlled 60% of possession and managed 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gremio | 60% | 0 (2) | 0.39 | 67 |
 Sao Jose PA | 40% | 0 (7) | 0.57 | 23 |
Sao Luiz's Last Match – Inter de Santa Maria vs Sao Luiz
Sao Luiz should win to turn things around after settling for a 0-0 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho draw against Inter de Santa Maria on January 14. In that match, Sao Luiz recorded 49% possession, firing 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Inter de Santa Maria | 51% | 0 (3) | - | 78 |
 Sao Luiz | 49% | 0 (1) | - | 79 |
Gremio vs Sao Luiz Stats
Key Stats
| Gremio | Sao Luiz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Attacking Strength | 0.7 |
| 0.93 | Defence Strength | 1.06 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Gremio are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Sao Luiz average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
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