Our Gremio vs Sao Luiz Prediction: 3-1
Gremio vs Sao Luiz in the Brazil Campeonato Gaucho is scheduled for an 22:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 17, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This Gremio vs Sao Luiz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Gremio's Last Match – Avenida vs Gremio
Gremio will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 4-0 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho victory over Avenida on January 11. In that match, Gremio controlled 70% of possession and managed 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Avenida | 30% | 0 (1) | 0.79 | 41 |
 Gremio | 70% | 0 (5) | 2.45 | 56 |
Sao Luiz's Last Match – Sao Luiz vs Caxias RS
Sao Luiz should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho draw against Caxias RS on January 11. In that match, Sao Luiz recorded 52% possession, firing 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sao Luiz | 52% | 0 (2) | 1.72 | 54 |
 Caxias RS | 48% | 0 (6) | 1.17 | 57 |
Gremio vs Sao Luiz Stats
Key Stats
| Gremio | Sao Luiz | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.18 | Attacking Strength | 0.7 |
| 0.93 | Defence Strength | 1.13 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Gremio are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Sao Luiz average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Gremio 
Caxias RS 
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