Gremio vs Sao Paulo Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Gremio vs Sao Paulo Prediction: 1-1

Gremio vs Sao Paulo in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 22:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday October 16, 2025. A 1-1 draw is our predicted outcome, with both teams expected to score, making BTTS a solid betting option.

This Gremio vs Sao Paulo prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Gremio's Last Match – Bragantino vs Gremio

Gremio will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 Brazil Serie A loss to Bragantino on October 4. In that match, Gremio recorded 34% possession, firing 3 shots at goal, with 1 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Bragantino	66%	19 (7)	3.05	90
Gremio	34%	3 (1)	0.24	20

Sao Paulo's Last Match – Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras

Sao Paulo must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 2-3 Brazil Serie A defeat against Palmeiras on October 5. In that match, Sao Paulo recorded 51% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Sao Paulo	51%	9 (5)	1.85	29
Palmeiras	49%	7 (7)	1.39	33

Gremio vs Sao Paulo Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Gremio are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Sao Paulo average 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Gremio to win: @2.8

Draw: @3.1

Sao Paulo to win: @2.6

Gremio Fixtures

Sao Paulo Fixtures