Our Sao Paulo vs Gremio Prediction: 2-1
Sao Paulo vs Gremio in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday May 18, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This Sao Paulo vs Gremio prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Sao Paulo vs Libertad Asuncion
Sao Paulo will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Copa Libertadores draw against Libertad Asuncion on May 15. In that match, Sao Paulo saw 54% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sao Paulo | 54% | 7 (3) | 0.92 | 45 |
Libertad Asuncion | 46% | 3 (1) | 0.67 | 27 |
Gremio's Last Match – Gremio vs Godoy Cruz
Determined to get back to winning ways, Gremio must win after their 1-1 Copa Sudamericana draw against Godoy Cruz on May 13. In that match, Gremio controlled 63% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Gremio | 63% | 12 (5) | 1.32 | 45 |
Godoy Cruz | 37% | 10 (4) | 0.63 | 40 |
Sao Paulo vs Gremio Stats
Key Stats
| Sao Paulo | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | Attacking Strength | 0.73 |
| 1.15 | Defence Strength | 1.05 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sao Paulo are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Gremio average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Sao Paulo 13-8
Gremio 10-15
What are the odds for this match?
Sao Paulo to win: @1.8
Draw: @3.5
Gremio to win: @4.75
Lineups
Sao Paulo (4-2-3-1) : Rafael, Nahuel Ferraresi, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Enzo Diaz, Alisson, Marcos Antonio, Lucas dos Santos Ferreira, Oscar, Luciano, Andre Silva
Gremio (4-2-3-1) : Tiago Volpi, Joao Pedro, Jemerson, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Dodi, Mathias Villasanti, Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha, Miguel Monsalve, Alexander Aravena, Martin Braithwaite