Sao Paulo vs Gremio Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Sao Paulo vs Gremio Prediction: 2-1

Sao Paulo vs Gremio in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Thursday February 12, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.

This Sao Paulo vs Gremio prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Sao Paulo's Last Match – Sao Paulo vs Primavera SP

Sao Paulo will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 Brazil Campeonato Paulista victory over Primavera SP, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Sao Paulo controlled 67% of possession and managed 13 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Sao Paulo	67%	13 (5)	1.84	63
Primavera SP	33%	7 (5)	0.68	18

Gremio's Last Match – Gremio vs Novo Hamburgo

Gremio will hope to extend their good run following a 1-0 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho win against Novo Hamburgo on February 7. In that match, Gremio had 61% possession and 3 shots on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Gremio	61%	0 (3)	1.5	41
Novo Hamburgo	39%	0 (3)	0.21	26

Sao Paulo vs Gremio Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Sao Paulo are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Gremio average 2.5 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

Lineups

Sao Paulo (4-2-3-1) : Rafael, Lucas Ramon, Alan Franco, Sabino, Enzo Diaz, Daniel Abelha, Damian Bobadilla, Lucas Moura, Luciano, Marcos Antonio, Jonathan Calleri

Gremio (4-3-3) : Weverton, Joao Pedro, Fabian Balbuena, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola, Arthur Melo, Edenilson, Tete, Carlos Vinicius, Francis Amuzu

Sao Paulo Fixtures

Gremio Fixtures