Our Paganese vs Sarnese Prediction: 1-1
Paganese vs Sarnese in the Italy Serie D is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 19, 2025. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Paganese vs Sarnese prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Paganese's Last Match – FC Francavilla vs Paganese
Paganese will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-1 Italy Serie D success over FC Francavilla on September 28.
Sarnese's Last Match – Sarnese vs Martina
Sarnese will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-2 Italy Serie D loss to Martina on September 28. In that match, Sarnese had 46% possession and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sarnese | 46% | 0 (2) | - | 32 |
 Martina | 54% | 0 (11) | - | 44 |
Paganese vs Sarnese Stats
Key Stats
| Paganese | Sarnese | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.91 | Attacking Strength | 1.86 |
| 0.51 | Defence Strength | 1.32 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Paganese are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Sarnese average 1.5 scored and 2.1 conceded per game.
Igea Virtus 
AC Savoia 1908 
Gelbison 
Reggina 
Vibonese 
ACR Messina 
ASD Sancataldese 
ASD Ragusa 
Acireale