Our TSG Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg Prediction: 3-1
TSG Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
TSG Hoffenheim's Last Match – TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen
TSG Hoffenheim will seek to keep their streak alive after a 1-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Bayer Leverkusen on January 17. In that match, TSG Hoffenheim saw 38% of the ball and created 13 goal attempts, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 TSG Hoffenheim | 38% | 13 (8) | 1.3 | 39 |
 Bayer Leverkusen | 62% | 6 (2) | 1.07 | 54 |
SC Freiburg's Last Match – Augsburg vs SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 Germany Bundesliga I stalemate against Augsburg on January 18. In that match, SC Freiburg controlled 55% of possession and managed 4 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Augsburg | 45% | 7 (5) | 0.85 | 33 |
 SC Freiburg | 55% | 4 (5) | 1.2 | 36 |
TSG Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg Stats
Key Stats
| TSG Hoffenheim | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Attacking Strength | 0.88 |
| 1.08 | Defence Strength | 1.3 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
TSG Hoffenheim are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while SC Freiburg average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.