Our SD Aucas vs Mushuc Runa Prediction: 2-1
SD Aucas vs Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This SD Aucas vs Mushuc Runa prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
SD Aucas's Last Match – Barcelona Guayaquil vs SD Aucas
After suffering a 0-1 America Friendlies loss to Barcelona Guayaquil, SD Aucas must win to get back on track. In that match, SD Aucas recorded 50% possession, firing 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Barcelona Guayaquil | 50% | 0 (4) | - | 39 |
SD Aucas | 50% | 0 (1) | - | 33 |
Mushuc Runa's Last Match – Vinotinto Ecuador vs Mushuc Runa
Determined to get back to winning ways, Mushuc Runa must win after their 0-0 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A draw against Vinotinto Ecuador on November 29. In that match, Mushuc Runa recorded 42% possession and 2 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Vinotinto Ecuador | 58% | 0 (4) | 1.15 | 37 |
Mushuc Runa | 42% | 0 (2) | 0.39 | 35 |
SD Aucas vs Mushuc Runa Stats
Key Stats
| SD Aucas | Mushuc Runa | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | Attacking Strength | 0.79 |
| 0.79 | Defence Strength | 0.92 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
SD Aucas are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Mushuc Runa average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
SD Aucas 20-11
Mushuc Runa 14-10
What are the odds for this match?
SD Aucas to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.1
Mushuc Runa to win: @4
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.9



Barcelona Guayaquil
SD Aucas
Vinotinto Ecuador
Mushuc Runa
Independiente del Valle
LDU Quito
Barcelona Guayaquil
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa
SD Aucas
Macara
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
Emelec
Orense
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Guayaquil City