Our FK Qarabag vs Shamakhi FK Prediction: 2-1
FK Qarabag vs Shamakhi FK in the Azerbaijan Cup is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 4, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
Our prediction comes from detailed stats and betting data — scroll down for team performance trends and recent form insights.
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Recent Form Insights
FK Qarabag's Last Match – Newcastle vs FK Qarabag
FK Qarabag will hope to recover from their recent 2-3 UEFA Champions League setback against Newcastle on February 24. In that match, FK Qarabag recorded 34% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Newcastle | 66% | 12 (8) | 2.63 | 61 |
 FK Qarabag | 34% | 8 (6) | 1.34 | 24 |
Shamakhi FK's Last Match – Imisli vs Shamakhi FK
Shamakhi FK will look to build on their last result following a 0-0 Azerbaijan Premier League stalemate against Imisli on February 22. In that match, Shamakhi FK had 39% possession and 0 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Imisli | 61% | 0 (0) | - | 51 |
 Shamakhi FK | 39% | 0 (0) | - | 39 |
FK Qarabag vs Shamakhi FK Stats
Key Stats
| FK Qarabag | Shamakhi FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.42 | Attacking Strength | 0.69 |
| 0.9 | Defence Strength | 0.96 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
FK Qarabag are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per match, while Shamakhi FK average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.