Our Mara Sugar FC vs Sofapaka FC Prediction: 1-1
Mara Sugar FC vs Sofapaka FC in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 12:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Mara Sugar FC vs Sofapaka FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mara Sugar FC's Last Match – Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC
Mara Sugar FC must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-3 Kenya Premier League defeat against Gor Mahia on January 18. In that match, Mara Sugar FC recorded 32% possession and 1 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gor Mahia | 68% | 0 (4) | - | 46 |
Mara Sugar FC | 32% | 0 (1) | - | 33 |
Sofapaka FC's Last Match – Shabana FC vs Sofapaka FC
After suffering a 0-1 Kenya Premier League loss to Shabana FC, Sofapaka FC must win to get back on track. In that match, Sofapaka FC recorded 47% possession, firing 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Shabana FC | 53% | 0 (1) | - | 77 |
 Sofapaka FC | 47% | 0 (1) | - | 93 |
Mara Sugar FC vs Sofapaka FC Stats
Key Stats
| Mara Sugar FC | Sofapaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | Attacking Strength | 0.87 |
| 0.65 | Defence Strength | 1.01 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 0.6 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 1/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 0.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mara Sugar FC are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Sofapaka FC average 0.4 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.