Our Spain vs France Prediction: 2-1
Spain vs France in the UEFA Nations League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday June 5, 2025. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Spain vs France prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Spain's Last Match – Spain vs Netherlands
Determined to get back to winning ways, Spain must win after their 3-3 UEFA Nations League draw against Netherlands on March 23. In that match, Spain recorded 50% possession, attempting 11 shots on goal, with 9 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spain | 50% | 11 (9) | 3.21 | 77 |
 Netherlands | 50% | 15 (9) | 2.8 | 81 |
France's Last Match – France vs Croatia
France will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-0 UEFA Nations League triumph against Croatia on March 23. In that match, France had 64% possession and 21 attempts at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 France | 64% | 21 (8) | 2.6 | 118 |
 Croatia | 36% | 2 (0) | 0.18 | 26 |
Spain vs France Stats
Key Stats
| Spain | France | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.88 | Attacking Strength | 1.22 |
| 0.77 | Defence Strength | 0.75 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Spain are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while France average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Spain 22-11
France 15-10
What are the odds for this match?
Spain to win: @2.4
Draw: @3.1
France to win: @3.2
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.08
Lineups
Spain (4-3-3) : Unai Simon, Pedro Porro, Robin Le Normand, Dean Huijsen, Marc Cucurella, Mikel Merino, Martin Zubimendi, Pedri, Lamine Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal, Nico Williams
France (4-2-3-1) : Mike Maignan, Pierre Kalulu, Ibrahima Konate, Clement Lenglet, Theo Hernandez, Manu Kone, Adrien Rabiot, Ousmane Dembélé, Michael Olise, Desire Doue, Kylian Mbappe
Moldova 
Malta 
Andorra