Our AD Ovarense vs Sporting Covilha Prediction: 3-1
AD Ovarense vs Sporting Covilha in the Portugal Cup is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday September 20, 2025. We’re backing a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
Our prediction is supported by key AD Ovarense vs Sporting Covilha stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
AD Ovarense's Last Match – AD Ovarense vs SC Celoricense
AD Ovarense must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 7-1 Portugal Cup victory over SC Celoricense in their last outing.
Sporting Covilha's Last Match – Sporting Covilha vs CD Mafra
Sporting Covilha will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 0-0 Portugal Liga 3 draw with CD Mafra on September 14. In that match, Sporting Covilha had 48% possession and 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting Covilha | 48% | 0 (3) | - | 66 |
 CD Mafra | 52% | 0 (3) | - | 82 |
AD Ovarense vs Sporting Covilha Stats
Key Stats
| AD Ovarense | Sporting Covilha | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.89 | Attacking Strength | 0.55 |
| 0.85 | Defence Strength | 0.9 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 3.6 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
AD Ovarense are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match, while Sporting Covilha average 0.8 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.