Our Gremio vs Sportivo Luqueno Prediction: 3-1
Gremio vs Sportivo Luqueno in the Copa Sudamericana is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday May 29, 2025. Our analysis favors a 3-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
This Gremio vs Sportivo Luqueno prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Gremio's Last Match – Gremio vs EC Bahia
Determined to maintain their recent success, Gremio must win following their 1-0 Brazil Serie A victory against EC Bahia on May 25. In that match, Gremio recorded 32% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gremio | 32% | 7 (2) | 1.22 | 26 |
 EC Bahia | 68% | 8 (3) | 1.13 | 75 |
Sportivo Luqueno's Last Match – Guarani Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Luqueno will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-2 Paraguay Division Profesional loss to Guarani Asuncion on May 24. In that match, Sportivo Luqueno recorded 50% possession and 2 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Guarani Asuncion | 50% | 0 (6) | - | 38 |
 Sportivo Luqueno | 50% | 0 (2) | - | 31 |
Gremio vs Sportivo Luqueno Stats
Key Stats
| Gremio | Sportivo Luqueno | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.02 | Attacking Strength | 0.97 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 1.16 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Gremio are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Sportivo Luqueno average 0.7 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Gremio 10-10
Sportivo Luqueno 7-14
What are the odds for this match?
Gremio to win: @1.166
Draw: @7
Sportivo Luqueno to win: @19
Lineups
Gremio (4-2-3-1) : Gabriel Grando, Lucas Esteves, Jemerson, Viery, Nathan, Ronald, Camilo, Alexander Aravena, Gustavo Martins de Souza Santos, Cristian Pavon, Matias Arezo
Sportivo Luqueno (4-4-2) : Francisco Mongelos, Santiago Ocampos, Alexis Villalva, Julian Marchio, Felipe Pasadore, Fernando Aguirre, Angel Benitez, Joaquin Paredes Filippini, Rodrigo Alborno, Kevin Pereira, Elvio Vera
Cienciano 
Atletico Mineiro 
Caracas 
Deportes Iquique