Our San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City SC Prediction: 3-2
San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City SC in the USA MLS is scheduled for an 02:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday September 21, 2025. A 3-2 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City SC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
San Jose Earthquakes's Last Match – San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC
After suffering a 2-4 USA MLS loss to Los Angeles FC, San Jose Earthquakes must win to get back on track. In that match, San Jose Earthquakes recorded 67% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 San Jose Earthquakes | 67% | 8 (6) | 1.18 | 80 |
 Los Angeles FC | 33% | 9 (6) | 2.03 | 8 |
St. Louis City SC's Last Match – CF Montreal vs St. Louis City SC
St. Louis City SC will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-0 USA MLS victory over CF Montreal on September 13. In that match, St. Louis City SC had 44% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 CF Montreal | 56% | 7 (2) | 1.25 | 85 |
 St. Louis City SC | 44% | 12 (4) | 1.2 | 38 |
San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City SC Stats
Key Stats
| San Jose Earthquakes | St. Louis City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.28 | Attacking Strength | 0.69 |
| 1.59 | Defence Strength | 1.34 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 10/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 10/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
San Jose Earthquakes are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match, while St. Louis City SC average 1.6 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
San Jose Earthquakes 16-24
St. Louis City SC 16-19
What are the odds for this match?
San Jose Earthquakes to win: @1.75
Draw: @4.2
St. Louis City SC to win: @4
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