Our St Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction: 1-2
St Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 13:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday September 27, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 1-2 away triumph, but considering both teams’ attacking strengths, BTTS is a highly likely scenario.
This St Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
St Pauli's Last Match – VfB Stuttgart vs St Pauli
St Pauli will hope to recover from their recent 0-2 Germany Bundesliga I setback against VfB Stuttgart on September 19. In that match, St Pauli controlled 47% of possession and managed 3 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 VfB Stuttgart | 53% | 9 (8) | 1.67 | 41 |
 St Pauli | 47% | 3 (2) | 1.16 | 31 |
Bayer Leverkusen's Last Match – Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia M'gladbach
Bayer Leverkusen will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I stalemate against Borussia M'gladbach on September 21. In that match, Bayer Leverkusen saw 61% of the ball and created 13 goal attempts, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bayer Leverkusen | 61% | 13 (9) | 1.56 | 42 |
 Borussia M'gladbach | 39% | 11 (7) | 0.75 | 49 |
St Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats
Key Stats
| St Pauli | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.55 | Attacking Strength | 1.41 |
| 0.87 | Defence Strength | 0.85 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
St Pauli are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Bayer Leverkusen average 2.1 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
St Pauli 19-10
Bayer Leverkusen 21-13
What are the odds for this match?
St Pauli to win: @3.1
Draw: @3.6
Bayer Leverkusen to win: @2.2
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875
Lineups
St Pauli (3-4-1-2) : Nikola Vasilj, Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, Lars Ritzka, Manolis Saliakas, James Sands, Joel Chima Fujita, Louis Oppie, Danel Sinani, Andreas Hountondji, Mathias Pereira Lage
Bayer Leverkusen (3-4-2-1) : Mark Flekken, Jarell Quansah, Loic Bade, Edmond Tapsoba, Axel Tape, Aleix Garcia, Robert Andrich, Alex Grimaldo, Malik Tillman, Eliesse Ben Seghir, Patrik Schick
Bayern Munich 
Borussia Dortmund 
RB Leipzig 
Bayer Leverkusen 
VfB Stuttgart 
TSG Hoffenheim 
Eintracht Frankfurt 
SC Freiburg 
Union Berlin 
Cologne 
Werder Bremen 
Borussia M'gladbach 
Hamburg 
Wolfsburg 
Augsburg 
St Pauli 
Heidenheim 
Mainz