Our St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: 1-1
St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday August 23, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
St Pauli's Last Match – St Pauli vs Eintracht Norderstedt
St Pauli will look to build on their last result following a 0-0 Germany DFB Pokal stalemate against Eintracht Norderstedt on August 16. In that match, St Pauli had 76% possession and 31 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 St Pauli | 76% | 0 (31) | - | 135 |
 Eintracht Norderstedt | 24% | 0 (6) | - | 28 |
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Rot-Weiss Essen vs Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 1-0 Germany DFB Pokal victory over Rot-Weiss Essen on August 18. In that match, Borussia Dortmund recorded 67% possession and 5 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rot-Weiss Essen | 33% | 0 (5) | 0.91 | 32 |
 Borussia Dortmund | 67% | 0 (5) | 0.86 | 56 |
St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Stats
Key Stats
| St Pauli | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.43 | Attacking Strength | 1.27 |
| 0.67 | Defence Strength | 1.11 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.7 | Average Scored | 2.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
St Pauli are averaging 2.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Borussia Dortmund average 2.5 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
St Pauli 27-9
Borussia Dortmund 25-12
What are the odds for this match?
St Pauli to win: @4.2
Draw: @3.9
Borussia Dortmund to win: @1.727