Our St Pauli vs SC Freiburg Prediction: 1-1
St Pauli vs SC Freiburg in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This St Pauli vs SC Freiburg prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
St Pauli's Last Match – Borussia M'gladbach vs St Pauli
St Pauli will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-2 Germany Bundesliga I defeat at the hands of Borussia M'gladbach on March 13. In that match, St Pauli recorded 60% possession, attempting 4 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Borussia M'gladbach | 40% | 7 (4) | 0.6 | 30 |
 St Pauli | 60% | 4 (1) | 0.5 | 70 |
SC Freiburg's Last Match – SC Freiburg vs Genk
Determined to maintain their recent success, SC Freiburg must win following their 5-1 UEFA Europa League victory against Genk on March 19. In that match, SC Freiburg controlled 46% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 SC Freiburg | 46% | 8 (6) | 1.94 | 34 |
 Genk | 54% | 9 (3) | 1.05 | 47 |
St Pauli vs SC Freiburg Stats
Key Stats
| St Pauli | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.48 | Attacking Strength | 0.61 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 1.37 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
St Pauli are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while SC Freiburg average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
St Pauli 7-14
SC Freiburg 12-14
What are the odds for this match?
St Pauli to win: @2.7
Draw: @3.1
SC Freiburg to win: @2.7
Lineups
St Pauli (3-4-2-1) : Nikola Vasilj, Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, Tomoya Ando, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Mathias Rasmussen, Jackson Irvine, Lars Ritzka, Joel Chima Fujita, Mathias Pereira Lage, Danel Sinani
SC Freiburg (4-2-3-1) : Noah Atubolu, Philipp Treu, Matthias Ginter, Bruno Ogbus, Jordy Makengo, Maximilian Eggestein, Johan Manzambi, Jan-Niklas Beste, Yuito Suzuki, Vincenzo Grifo, Igor Matanovic