Our SC Freiburg vs St Pauli Prediction: 1-1
SC Freiburg vs St Pauli in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday November 9, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This SC Freiburg vs St Pauli prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
SC Freiburg's Last Match – Nice vs SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-1 UEFA Europa League victory over Nice in their last outing. In that match, SC Freiburg saw 41% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nice | 59% | 11 (4) | 1.43 | 49 |
 SC Freiburg | 41% | 10 (7) | 2.15 | 19 |
St Pauli's Last Match – St Pauli vs Borussia M'gladbach
St Pauli will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-4 Germany Bundesliga I loss to Borussia M'gladbach on November 1. In that match, St Pauli controlled 56% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 St Pauli | 56% | 9 (4) | 0.83 | 62 |
 Borussia M'gladbach | 44% | 15 (11) | 2.31 | 12 |
SC Freiburg vs St Pauli Stats
Key Stats
| SC Freiburg | St Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.92 | Attacking Strength | 0.6 |
| 1.33 | Defence Strength | 0.86 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
SC Freiburg are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while St Pauli average 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
SC Freiburg 14-9
St Pauli 8-18
What are the odds for this match?
SC Freiburg to win: @1.8
Draw: @3.6
St Pauli to win: @4.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.05
Lineups
SC Freiburg (4-2-3-1) : Noah Atubolu, Philipp Treu, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Christian Gunter, Maximilian Eggestein, Johan Manzambi, Jan-Niklas Beste, Yuito Suzuki, Vincenzo Grifo, Junior Adamu
St Pauli (3-4-3) : Nikola Vasilj, Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, Karol Mets, Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Joel Chima Fujita, Louis Oppie, Conor Metcalfe, Martijn Kaars, Mathias Pereira Lage