Our St Pauli vs SC Freiburg Prediction: 1-1
St Pauli vs SC Freiburg in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This St Pauli vs SC Freiburg prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
St Pauli's Last Match – Borussia M'gladbach vs St Pauli
St Pauli will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-2 Germany Bundesliga I defeat at the hands of Borussia M'gladbach on March 13. In that match, St Pauli recorded 60% possession, attempting 4 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Borussia M'gladbach | 40% | 7 (4) | 0.6 | 30 |
St Pauli | 60% | 4 (1) | 0.5 | 70 |
SC Freiburg's Last Match – SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin
SC Freiburg must win to recover from their recent 0-1 Germany Bundesliga I defeat against Union Berlin on March 15 and regain momentum. In that match, SC Freiburg controlled 73% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
SC Freiburg | 73% | 11 (6) | 1.1 | 37 |
Union Berlin | 27% | 9 (4) | 0.53 | 32 |
St Pauli vs SC Freiburg Stats
Key Stats
| St Pauli | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.48 | Attacking Strength | 0.61 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 1.37 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
St Pauli are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while SC Freiburg average 0.7 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
St Pauli 7-14
SC Freiburg 7-14
What are the odds for this match?
St Pauli to win: @2.625
Draw: @3.1
SC Freiburg to win: @2.6



Borussia M'gladbach
St Pauli
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
Bayern Munich
Borussia Dortmund
TSG Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
Augsburg
Hamburg
Borussia M'gladbach
Mainz
Cologne
Werder Bremen
St Pauli
Wolfsburg
Heidenheim