Our TSG Hoffenheim vs St Pauli Prediction: 3-0
TSG Hoffenheim vs St Pauli in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 28, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 3-1 home triumph, but considering recent goal trends, betting on over 2.5 goals also makes sense.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
TSG Hoffenheim's Last Match – Cologne vs TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 2-2 Germany Bundesliga I draw with Cologne on February 21. In that match, TSG Hoffenheim had 64% possession and 13 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cologne | 36% | 5 (4) | 1.07 | 48 |
 TSG Hoffenheim | 64% | 13 (6) | 1.47 | 61 |
St Pauli's Last Match – St Pauli vs Werder Bremen
St Pauli must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Werder Bremen in their last outing. In that match, St Pauli controlled 42% of possession and managed 3 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 St Pauli | 42% | 3 (4) | 0.21 | 39 |
 Werder Bremen | 58% | 4 (4) | 1.63 | 66 |
TSG Hoffenheim vs St Pauli Stats
Key Stats
| TSG Hoffenheim | St Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | Attacking Strength | 0.47 |
| 0.67 | Defence Strength | 1.21 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
TSG Hoffenheim are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while St Pauli average 0.9 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
TSG Hoffenheim 24-11
St Pauli 9-17
What are the odds for this match?
TSG Hoffenheim to win: @1.48
Draw: @4.75
St Pauli to win: @6.25
Lineups
TSG Hoffenheim (3-3-2-2) : Oliver Baumann, Robin Hranac, Ozan Kabak, Albian Hajdari, Vladimir Coufal, Leon Avdullahu, Bazoumana Toure, Grischa Promel, Wouter Burger, Andrej Kramaric, Fisnik Asllani
St Pauli (3-4-2-1) : Nikola Vasilj, Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, Karol Mets, Manolis Saliakas, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Joel Chima Fujita, Mathias Pereira Lage, Danel Sinani