Derby vs Stoke Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Derby vs Stoke Prediction: 1-0

Derby vs Stoke in the England Championship is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Monday April 6, 2026. We anticipate a close game, with Derby securing a 1-0 win thanks to a crucial moment of quality against Stoke.

This Derby vs Stoke prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Birmingham

Derby must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 England Championship victory over Birmingham in their last outing. In that match, Derby recorded 52% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 1 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Derby	52%	9 (1)	1.11	51
Birmingham	48%	2 (0)	0.05	36

Stoke's Last Match – Preston vs Stoke

Stoke must win to recover from their recent 1-3 England Championship defeat against Preston on March 20 and regain momentum. In that match, Stoke saw 54% of the ball and created 3 goal attempts, with 3 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Preston	46%	6 (3)	2.8	52
Stoke	54%	3 (3)	1.28	36

Derby vs Stoke Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Derby are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Stoke average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.

Derby Fixtures

Stoke Fixtures