Our Hull vs Stoke Prediction: 1-1
Hull vs Stoke in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday January 1, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Hull vs Stoke prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Hull's Last Match – Middlesbrough vs Hull
Hull will look to carry forward their winning form after a 1-0 England Championship success over Middlesbrough on December 29. In that match, Hull saw 30% of the ball and created 3 goal attempts, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Middlesbrough | 70% | 9 (5) | 1.16 | 97 |
 Hull | 30% | 3 (1) | 0.28 | 21 |
Stoke's Last Match – Stoke vs Sheff Utd
Stoke must win to recover from their recent 1-2 England Championship defeat against Sheff Utd on December 29 and regain momentum. In that match, Stoke controlled 53% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stoke | 53% | 7 (2) | 0.52 | 46 |
 Sheff Utd | 47% | 9 (3) | 2.05 | 36 |
Hull vs Stoke Stats
Key Stats
| Hull | Stoke | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | Attacking Strength | 0.5 |
| 1.09 | Defence Strength | 0.86 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Hull are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Stoke average 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Hull 17-15
Stoke 8-14
What are the odds for this match?
Hull to win: @2.375
Draw: @3.2
Stoke to win: @3
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.8
Lineups
Hull (4-2-3-1) : Ivor Pandur, Lewie Coyle, John Egan, Charlie Hughes, Akin Famewo, Regan Slater, Matt Crooks, Kyle Joseph, Darko Gyabi, Liam Millar, Oli McBurnie
Stoke (4-2-3-1) : Tommy Simkin, Maksym Talovierov, Ashley Phillips, Ben Wilmot, Ben Gibson, Bosun Lawal, Tomas Rigo, Sorba Thomas, Bae Joon-ho, Mohamed Lamine Cisse, Robert Bozenik