Stoke vs Middlesbrough Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Stoke vs Middlesbrough Prediction: 1-1

Stoke vs Middlesbrough in the England Championship is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 21, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.

This Stoke vs Middlesbrough prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Stoke's Last Match – Stoke vs QPR

Determined to get back to winning ways, Stoke must win after their 0-0 England Championship draw against QPR on January 17. In that match, Stoke recorded 73% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 4 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Stoke	73%	11 (4)	0.81	59
QPR	27%	6 (2)	0.28	21

Middlesbrough's Last Match – West Brom vs Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough will want to continue their winning form after a 3-2 England Championship victory over West Brom, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Middlesbrough saw 57% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 5 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
West Brom	43%	9 (6)	1.06	36
Middlesbrough	57%	8 (5)	0.92	48

Stoke vs Middlesbrough Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Stoke are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Middlesbrough average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Stoke to win: @2.8

Draw: @3.25

Middlesbrough to win: @2.4

Over 2.5 Goals: @2.025

Stoke Fixtures

Middlesbrough Fixtures