Our Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction: 1-1
Middlesbrough vs Stoke in the England Championship is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Tuesday September 30, 2025. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Middlesbrough vs Stoke prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Middlesbrough's Last Match – Southampton vs Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 England Championship stalemate against Southampton on September 27. In that match, Middlesbrough recorded 45% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Southampton | 55% | 8 (2) | 0.77 | 31 |
 Middlesbrough | 45% | 5 (1) | 0.3 | 39 |
Stoke's Last Match – Stoke vs Norwich
Stoke will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 England Championship draw against Norwich on September 27. In that match, Stoke controlled 58% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stoke | 58% | 10 (3) | 1.77 | 55 |
 Norwich | 42% | 4 (4) | 1.31 | 12 |
Middlesbrough vs Stoke Stats
Key Stats
| Middlesbrough | Stoke | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | Attacking Strength | 1.01 |
| 0.55 | Defence Strength | 1.26 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Middlesbrough are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Stoke average 1.1 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Middlesbrough 15-12
Stoke 11-8
What are the odds for this match?
Middlesbrough to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.3
Stoke to win: @3.9
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.05
Lineups
Middlesbrough (3-4-2-1) : Sol Brynn, Luke Ayling, George Edmundson, Alfie Jones, Alan Browne, Aidan Morris, Hayden Hackney, Matt Targett, Sverre Nypan, Tommy Conway, David Strelec
Stoke (4-2-3-1) : Viktor Johansson, Ashley Phillips, Bosun Lawal, Ben Wilmot, Eric Junior Bocat, Tatsuki Seko, Ben Pearson, Mohamed Lamine Cisse, Bae Joon-ho, Sorba Thomas, Robert Bozenik
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