Our Stoke vs Middlesbrough Prediction: 1-1
Stoke vs Middlesbrough in the England Championship is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 21, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Stoke vs Middlesbrough prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Stoke's Last Match – Stoke vs Coventry
Determined to maintain their recent success, Stoke must win following their 1-0 England FA Cup victory against Coventry on January 10. In that match, Stoke recorded 39% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stoke | 39% | 8 (3) | 2.4 | 26 |
Coventry | 61% | 6 (1) | 0.55 | 59 |
Middlesbrough's Last Match – Fulham vs Middlesbrough
After suffering a 1-3 England FA Cup loss to Fulham, Middlesbrough must win to get back on track. In that match, Middlesbrough saw 44% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fulham | 56% | 14 (8) | 2.1 | 57 |
Middlesbrough | 44% | 6 (3) | 0.77 | 36 |
Stoke vs Middlesbrough Stats
Key Stats
| Stoke | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | Attacking Strength | 0.85 |
| 0.68 | Defence Strength | 0.84 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Stoke are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Middlesbrough average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.



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