Our Swansea vs Stoke Prediction: 1-0
Swansea vs Stoke in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 7, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-0 Swansea victory, with their defensive discipline proving too strong for Stoke to break down.
This Swansea vs Stoke prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Swansea's Last Match – Ipswich vs Swansea
Swansea will be looking to bounce back after a 0-3 England Championship defeat against Ipswich on February 28. In that match, Swansea controlled 54% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ipswich | 46% | 6 (6) | 1.14 | 38 |
 Swansea | 54% | 6 (2) | 0.3 | 30 |
Stoke's Last Match – Coventry vs Stoke
Stoke will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-2 England Championship loss to Coventry on February 28. In that match, Stoke saw 36% of the ball and created 3 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Coventry | 64% | 13 (8) | 2.33 | 60 |
 Stoke | 36% | 3 (2) | 0.21 | 29 |
Swansea vs Stoke Stats
Key Stats
| Swansea | Stoke | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.18 | Attacking Strength | 0.51 |
| 0.51 | Defence Strength | 0.83 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Swansea are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Stoke average 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Swansea 15-12
Stoke 8-13
What are the odds for this match?
Swansea to win: @2.05
Draw: @3.3
Stoke to win: @3.7
Lineups
Swansea (4-2-3-1) : Lawrence Vigouroux, Josh Key, Ben Cabango, Cameron Burgess, Josh Tymon, Ethan Gaibraith, Marko Stamenic, Ronald Pereira Martins, Goncalo Franco, Eom Ji-sung, Zan Vipotnik
Stoke (4-2-3-1) : Tommy Simkin, Ben Wilmot, Ashley Phillips, Ben Gibson, Eric Junior Bocat, Steven Nzonzi, Tatsuki Seko, Jesuran Rak-Sakyi, Bae Joon-ho, Sorba Thomas, Mohamed Lamine Cisse