Our Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction: 2-1
Newcastle vs Sunderland in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 12:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
This Newcastle vs Sunderland prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Barcelona vs Newcastle
Newcastle must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 2-7 UEFA Champions League defeat against Barcelona on March 18. In that match, Newcastle recorded 37% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Barcelona | 63% | 15 (13) | 4.28 | 28 |
 Newcastle | 37% | 8 (5) | 1.51 | 27 |
Sunderland's Last Match – Sunderland vs Brighton
Sunderland will look to get back on track following a 0-1 England Premier League loss against Brighton on March 14. In that match, Sunderland recorded 47% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sunderland | 47% | 9 (4) | 0.97 | 60 |
 Brighton | 53% | 7 (4) | 1.57 | 43 |
Newcastle vs Sunderland Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.35 | Attacking Strength | 0.4 |
| 1.46 | Defence Strength | 1.08 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Sunderland average 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Newcastle 22-21
Sunderland 8-13
What are the odds for this match?
Newcastle to win: @1.65
Draw: @3.75
Sunderland to win: @5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875
Lineups
Newcastle (4-3-3) : Aaron Ramsdale, Kieran Trippier, Sven Botman, Dan Burn, Lewis Hall, Jacob Ramsey, Joelinton, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Elanga, Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes
Sunderland (4-1-4-1) : Melker Ellborg, Lutsharel Geertruida, Luke O'Nien, Omar Alderete, Trai Hume, Granit Xhaka, Chris Rigg, Habib Diarra, Noah Sadiki, Chemsdine Talbi, Brian Brobbey