Our Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction: 2-1
Newcastle vs Sunderland in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 12:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
This Newcastle vs Sunderland prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Barcelona vs Newcastle
Newcastle must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 2-7 UEFA Champions League defeat against Barcelona on March 18. In that match, Newcastle recorded 37% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Barcelona | 63% | 15 (13) | 4.28 | 28 |
 Newcastle | 37% | 8 (5) | 1.51 | 27 |
Sunderland's Last Match – Sunderland vs Brighton
Sunderland will look to get back on track following a 0-1 England Premier League loss against Brighton on March 14. In that match, Sunderland recorded 47% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sunderland | 47% | 9 (4) | 0.97 | 60 |
 Brighton | 53% | 7 (4) | 1.57 | 43 |
Newcastle vs Sunderland Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.35 | Attacking Strength | 0.4 |
| 1.46 | Defence Strength | 1.08 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Sunderland average 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Newcastle 22-21
Sunderland 8-13
What are the odds for this match?
Newcastle to win: @1.65
Draw: @3.75
Sunderland to win: @5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875
Lineups
Newcastle (4-3-3) : Aaron Ramsdale, Kieran Trippier, Sven Botman, Dan Burn, Lewis Hall, Jacob Ramsey, Joelinton, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Elanga, Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes
Sunderland (4-1-4-1) : Melker Ellborg, Lutsharel Geertruida, Luke O'Nien, Omar Alderete, Trai Hume, Granit Xhaka, Chris Rigg, Habib Diarra, Noah Sadiki, Chemsdine Talbi, Brian Brobbey
Arsenal 
Man City 
Man Utd 
Aston Villa 
Liverpool 
Chelsea 
Brentford 
Everton 
Brighton 
Bournemouth 
Fulham 
Sunderland 
Newcastle 
Crystal Palace 
Leeds 
Nottm Forest 
West Ham 
Tottenham 
Burnley 
Wolverhampton