Our Swansea vs Birmingham Prediction: 2-1
Swansea vs Birmingham in the England Championship is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 17, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This Swansea vs Birmingham prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Swansea's Last Match – Swansea vs West Brom
Swansea will seek to go one better this time following a 2-2 England FA Cup share of the spoils with West Brom on January 11. In that match, Swansea recorded 60% possession and 7 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Swansea | 60% | 0 (7) | 2.57 | 66 |
 West Brom | 40% | 0 (3) | 1.54 | 38 |
Birmingham's Last Match – Cambridge Utd vs Birmingham
Determined to maintain their recent success, Birmingham must win following their 3-2 England FA Cup victory against Cambridge Utd on January 10. In that match, Birmingham had 47% possession and 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cambridge Utd | 53% | 0 (4) | 1.04 | 62 |
 Birmingham | 47% | 0 (5) | 1.05 | 41 |
Swansea vs Birmingham Stats
Key Stats
| Swansea | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.84 | Attacking Strength | 0.51 |
| 1.1 | Defence Strength | 1.33 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Swansea are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Birmingham average 1.3 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Swansea 13-11
Birmingham 13-19
What are the odds for this match?
Swansea to win: @2.7
Draw: @3.2
Birmingham to win: @2.625
Lineups
Swansea (4-1-4-1) : Lawrence Vigouroux, Ethan Gaibraith, Ben Cabango, Cameron Burgess, Josh Tymon, Goncalo Franco, Ronald Pereira Martins, Jay Fulton, Melker Widell, Eom Ji-sung, Zan Vipotnik
Birmingham (4-2-3-1) : James Beadle, Tomoki Iwata, Phil Neumann, Christoph Klarer, Kai Wagner, Tommy Doyle, Seung Ho Paik, Patrick Roberts, Kyogo Furuhashi, Lewis Koumas, Marvin Ducksch