Our Italy U21 vs Sweden U21 Prediction: 1-0
Italy U21 vs Sweden U21 in the European U21 Championship Qual is scheduled for an 16:15 GMT kick-off on Friday October 10, 2025. A hard-fought battle awaits, but Italy U21 is likely to edge past Sweden U21 with a narrow 1-0 scoreline.
Our prediction is supported by key Italy U21 vs Sweden U21 stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Italy U21's Last Match – North Macedonia U21 vs Italy U21
Italy U21 will hope to extend their good run following a 1-0 European U21 Championship Qual win against North Macedonia U21 on September 9. In that match, Italy U21 recorded 68% possession and 3 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 North Macedonia U21 | 32% | 0 (3) | 0.03 | 81 |
 Italy U21 | 68% | 0 (3) | 0.29 | 80 |
Sweden U21's Last Match – Montenegro U21 vs Sweden U21
Sweden U21 must win to recover from their recent 0-2 European U21 Championship Qual defeat against Montenegro U21 on September 9 and regain momentum. In that match, Sweden U21 had 50% possession and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Montenegro U21 | 50% | 0 (5) | - | 44 |
 Sweden U21 | 50% | 0 (2) | - | 69 |
Italy U21 vs Sweden U21 Stats
Key Stats
| Italy U21 | Sweden U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Attacking Strength | 0.86 |
| 0.36 | Defence Strength | 0.47 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Italy U21 are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Sweden U21 average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
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