Our Luton vs Swindon Prediction: 3-1
Luton vs Swindon in the England EFL Trophy is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday January 13, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Luton vs Swindon prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Luton's Last Match – Reading vs Luton
After suffering a 2-3 England League 1 loss to Reading, Luton must win to get back on track. In that match, Luton recorded 66% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Reading | 34% | 8 (4) | 1.35 | 22 |
 Luton | 66% | 9 (4) | 0.94 | 51 |
Swindon's Last Match – Swindon vs Crawley Town
Swindon must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 England League 2 victory over Crawley Town in their last outing. In that match, Swindon saw 41% of the ball and created 2 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Swindon | 41% | 2 (2) | 1.12 | 24 |
 Crawley Town | 59% | 4 (4) | 2.05 | 55 |
Luton vs Swindon Stats
Key Stats
| Luton | Swindon | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Attacking Strength | 0.97 |
| 0.47 | Defence Strength | 0.84 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Luton are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Swindon average 2.0 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
Luton 
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