Our Luton vs Swindon Prediction: 3-1
Luton vs Swindon in the England EFL Trophy is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday January 13, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Luton vs Swindon prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Luton's Last Match – Luton vs Stevenage
Luton will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 England League 1 victory over Stevenage, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Luton recorded 57% possession and 6 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luton | 57% | 0 (6) | 2.52 | 46 |
 Stevenage | 43% | 0 (3) | 1.25 | 53 |
Swindon's Last Match – Swindon vs Gillingham
Swindon must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-0 England League 2 victory over Gillingham in their last outing. In that match, Swindon saw 50% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Swindon | 50% | 0 (2) | 1.24 | 40 |
 Gillingham | 50% | 0 (4) | 1.36 | 60 |
Luton vs Swindon Stats
Key Stats
| Luton | Swindon | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Attacking Strength | 0.97 |
| 0.47 | Defence Strength | 0.84 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Luton are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Swindon average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded per game.
Luton 21-11
Swindon 17-5
What are the odds for this match?
Luton to win: @1.55
Draw: @3.9
Swindon to win: @5