Our Tapatio vs Oaxaca Prediction: 2-1
Tapatio vs Oaxaca in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Friday October 3, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tapatio's Last Match – Cancun FC vs Tapatio
Tapatio must win to recover from their recent 0-1 Mexico Liga de Expansion defeat against Cancun FC on September 28 and regain momentum. In that match, Tapatio controlled 52% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cancun FC | 48% | 0 (7) | - | 63 |
Tapatio | 52% | 0 (4) | - | 57 |
Oaxaca's Last Match – Oaxaca vs Irapuato
Oaxaca must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-2 Mexico Liga de Expansion defeat against Irapuato on September 28. In that match, Oaxaca saw 40% of the ball and created 3 goal attempts, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oaxaca | 40% | 3 (1) | - | 46 |
Irapuato | 60% | 8 (6) | - | 61 |
Tapatio vs Oaxaca Stats
Key Stats
| Tapatio | Oaxaca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | Attacking Strength | 0.9 |
| 0.63 | Defence Strength | 1.37 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 0.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tapatio are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Oaxaca average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded per game.
Tapatio 15-12
Oaxaca 12-25
What are the odds for this match?
Tapatio to win: @1.6
Draw: @4.2
Oaxaca to win: @4.1
Oaxaca 
Atlante 
Atletico Morelia 
Mineros de Zacatecas 
Correcaminos 
Dorados 
Jaiba Brava 
Universidad Guadalajara 
Venados FC