Our Oaxaca vs Tapatio Prediction: 1-2
Oaxaca vs Tapatio in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Friday March 13, 2026. We anticipate a 1-2 away victory, but given both teams’ ability to score, BTTS seems like a valuable betting option.
Our prediction is supported by key Oaxaca vs Tapatio stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Oaxaca's Last Match – Oaxaca vs Dorados
Oaxaca will want to continue their winning form after a 3-2 Mexico Liga de Expansion victory over Dorados, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Oaxaca recorded 58% possession and 12 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oaxaca | 58% | 0 (12) | - | 69 |
 Dorados | 42% | 0 (6) | - | 25 |
Tapatio's Last Match – Tapatio vs Cancun FC
Tapatio must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Mexico Liga de Expansion defeat against Cancun FC on March 6 and regain momentum. In that match, Tapatio saw 61% of the ball and 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tapatio | 61% | 0 (3) | - | 94 |
Cancun FC | 39% | 0 (3) | - | 41 |
Oaxaca vs Tapatio Stats
Key Stats
| Oaxaca | Tapatio | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.71 | Attacking Strength | 0.88 |
| 1.58 | Defence Strength | 0.83 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 2.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Oaxaca are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Tapatio average 2.2 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Atletico Morelia 
Atlante 
Oaxaca 
Correcaminos 
Mineros de Zacatecas 
Venados FC 
Jaiba Brava 
Dorados 
Universidad Guadalajara